Trump's 2nd Term · 14 Months In

One man. What it cost.

$590B
War he started
385K
Jobs destroyed
$106
Oil per barrel
600K+
People deported

252 executive orders. Zero congressional votes.
None of this had to happen.

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War / Foreign Policy
$106
oil per barrel

The US and Israel launched strikes on Iran. Khamenei assassinated. The Strait of Hormuz nearly blockaded. Brent crude spiked 60% in one month — the largest monthly increase ever recorded.

This happened
But what if it didn't?
Alternate timeline
$68
oil per barrel

Nobody bombed Iran. Oil stayed at $68. Heating bills didn't double. Fertilizer prices didn't spike 50%. Food stayed affordable. The evening news was boring.

This didn't have to happen
Government / Economy
385K
federal workers fired

Musk promised $2 trillion in savings. Government spending went up 6%. The cost of firing and rehiring: $135 billion. He said he "wouldn't do it again."

This happened
But what if it didn't?
Alternate timeline
$0
wasted on rehiring

Veterans had healthcare. Tornado warnings went out on time. Food inspectors inspected food. Taxpayers saved $135 billion by not firing people and then hiring their replacements.

This didn't have to happen
Economy / Trade
27%
average tariff rate — highest in a century

"Liberation Day." Tariffs up to 145% on China. $1,000 per household per year. The S&P 500 fell 20% in seven weeks. Then the Supreme Court ruled 6–3 he never had the authority.

This happened
But what if it didn't?
Alternate timeline
2.5%
average tariff rate — where it was

Global trade kept flowing. Your groceries cost the same. Manufacturing kept 100,000 jobs. The Supreme Court didn't have to step in. $1,000 stayed in every household.

This didn't have to happen
Immigration / Society
600K+
people deported

Street arrests increased 11x. ICE raided churches and schools. Agriculture lost 155,000 workers in four months. 2025 was the deadliest year in ICE detention history.

This happened
But what if it didn't?
Alternate timeline
0
churches raided

Farms had workers. Restaurants stayed open. Children went to school without fear. Nobody died in overcrowded detention. Immigration was still unsolved. But communities weren't ripped apart overnight.

This didn't have to happen

Build your
alternate 2026.

Pick 2–5 decisions to undo.
Every number is from real sources.

Data from Tax Foundation · PIIE · Yale Budget Lab · WEF · Fortune · PBS · AIC · Brookings · CFR
Simplified for clarity. Real-world causality is more complex.